ASHA
Accord

All hostilities halt immediately — including Israeli strikes on Lebanon and Hezbollah rocket fire into Israel. Mediated by Pakistan, Oman, China, India, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE. Verified by UN observers on the ground. Lebanon must be explicitly included — the current ceasefire omits it. No unilateral extensions; mutual consent required.

The Strait reopens immediately under a UNCLOS-based International Maritime Safety Protocol, jointly administered by Iran, Oman, and a UN-appointed neutral body. Iran retains formal involvement (sovereignty preserved). All nations navigate freely (US demand met). Iran suspends tolls for 3 years. In exchange: $2 billion in frozen Iranian assets released on the day Hormuz reopens.

UN-led damage assessment of all civilian infrastructure in Iran — hospitals, schools, heritage sites, residential areas. An international reconstruction fund established with contributions from GCC states, China, and the EU. Gives Iran partial reparations without requiring the US to formally admit legal liability — a critical face-saving mechanism for Washington.

Iran halts new enrichment for 10 years — splitting the difference between Iran's 5-year proposal and the US's 20-year demand. The existing ~400kg stockpile (60% enriched) is either downblended to 3.67% civilian use OR transferred to Russian custody. Iran preserves its enrichment RIGHT in principle while accepting a practical moratorium — sovereignty is intact, bomb-building is not.

Remaining $4 billion in frozen assets released in two tranches: first at deal signing, second at 6-month IAEA verification. Broader sanctions lifted in phases over 18 months, each phase tied to measurable compliance benchmarks. Snapback mechanism retained but controlled by a multilateral body — NOT unilaterally by the US. This addresses Iran's deepest fear from 2018.

Iran caps missile range at 2,000km — covering the regional theater but not intercontinental reach. No new development of long-range systems. Framed as a mutual regional arms-control framework, not one-sided Iranian disarmament. Fully verifiable by satellite and IAEA monitoring. Iran preserves its defensive deterrent; the US achieves measurable limits.

Full Hezbollah disarmament is not achievable — demanding it collapses any deal. Instead: Hezbollah withdraws 40km from the Israeli border, enforced by the Lebanese Army and an expanded UN UNIFIL mission. Iran formally suspends new weapons transfers to Hezbollah for 5 years, verified by satellite. Israel suspends offensive operations in Lebanon as long as this holds.

Iran's core post-war demand is a guarantee against future US and Israeli attack. The US cannot sign a bilateral non-aggression pact. Solution: a multilateral Middle East Security Framework, co-signed by China, Russia, the EU, Gulf states, and Turkey. Great-power co-signatories provide implicit deterrence. Modeled on the Helsinki Accords of 1975.

Iran demands closure of all US bases; the US will never accept this. Compromise: the US reduces forces in Qatar and Bahrain to pre-February 2026 levels, with a 5-year review mechanism. Iran shows its public a visible, measurable reduction. The US retains its essential strategic regional posture.

Every deal that ignores the Israel–Iran relationship is temporary. Establish a structured back-channel dialogue between Israeli and Iranian officials — via Switzerland or the UAE — focused on a 10-point coexistence protocol. Not recognition. Not normalization. A structured non-aggression understanding. Without it, the cycle of war restarts within a decade.